Texas Hold'em Odds Handbook
1. Pre-flop Hand Odds
|
Starting Hand
|
Probability
|
Odds
|
|
Pocket Pair
|
5.9%
|
16:1 against
|
|
Suited Cards
|
23.5%
|
3.25:1 against
|
|
Specific Pocket Pair (e.g., AA)
|
0.45%
|
220:1 against
|
2. Drawing Odds on the Flop
|
Draw Type
|
Outs
|
Turn
|
Turn + River
|
|
Flush Draw
|
9
|
19.1%
|
35%
|
|
Open-Ended Straight Draw
|
8
|
17.0%
|
31.5%
|
|
Gutshot Straight Draw
|
4
|
8.5%
|
16.5%
|
3. Quick Rules for Calculating Odds
-
Rule of 2: Multiply outs by 2 for Turn odds (%)
-
Rule of 4: Multiply outs by 4 for Turn + River odds (%)
4. Pot Odds vs Hand Odds
To make a profitable call, your pot odds must be better than your hand odds.
Example calculation: If you need to call $10 into a $40 pot:
-
Pot odds = 10/(40+10) = 20%
-
If your hand odds are better than 20%, calling is profitable
5. Common Scenarios
|
Scenario
|
Win Probability
|
|
AA vs KK preflop
|
82%
|
|
AK vs QQ preflop
|
43%
|
|
Pair vs Overcards on flop
|
70%
|
6. Implied Odds
Consider potential future bets when calculating odds:
-
Stack sizes
-
Opponent tendencies
-
Position
-
Board texture
7. Advanced Drawing Odds
|
Draw Type
|
Outs
|
1 Card
|
2 Cards
|
|
Flush Draw + Pair
|
12
|
25.5%
|
45.0%
|
|
Flush + Straight Draw
|
15
|
31.9%
|
54.1%
|
|
Set to Full House/Quads
|
7
|
14.9%
|
27.8%
|
|
Two Pair to Full House
|
4
|
8.5%
|
16.5%
|
8. Detailed Pre-flop Match-ups
|
Hand vs Hand
|
Equity
|
Win%
|
Tie%
|
|
AA vs KK
|
82.4%
|
81.2%
|
1.2%
|
|
AK suited vs QQ
|
43.8%
|
43.2%
|
0.6%
|
|
22 vs AK offsuit
|
54.6%
|
53.8%
|
0.8%
|
|
JJ vs AQ suited
|
57.3%
|
56.5%
|
0.8%
|
9. Position-Based Odds
Winning probability adjustment based on position:
|
Position
|
Advantage
|
Notes
|
|
Button
|
+15%
|
Best position, act last post-flop
|
|
Cut-off
|
+10%
|
Second-best position
|
|
Early Position
|
-10%
|
Act first post-flop
|
|
Blinds
|
-20%
|
Worst position, act first pre-flop
|
10. Stack Size Impact on Odds
Effective stack sizes affect implied odds:
|
Stack Size (BB)
|
Drawing Hand Value
|
Strategy Adjustment
|
|
< 10 BB
|
-50%
|
Avoid drawing hands
|
|
10-20 BB
|
-25%
|
Only premium draws
|
|
20-50 BB
|
Normal
|
Standard play
|
|
> 50 BB
|
+25%
|
Speculative hands playable
|
11. Multi-Way Pot Adjustments
Adjust your required equity based on number of players:
|
Players
|
Required Equity
|
Hand Strength Needed
|
|
Heads-up
|
50%
|
Base strength
|
|
3-way
|
33%
|
+20% stronger
|
|
4-way
|
25%
|
+40% stronger
|
|
5+ way
|
20%
|
+60% stronger
|
12. Quick Odds Calculator
For any drawing hand, use these formulas:
-
One card to come: (Outs × 2) + 1 = Approximate percentage
-
Two cards to come: (Outs × 4) = Approximate percentage
-
Exact calculation: (1 - ((47-Outs)/47) × ((46-Outs)/46))
13. Specific Flop Scenarios
|
Scenario
|
Win%
|
Key Considerations
|
|
Top Pair vs Flush Draw
|
65%
|
Lead betting, protect equity
|
|
Overpair vs Middle Set
|
9%
|
Be cautious with strong resistance
|
|
Two Overcards vs Bottom Pair
|
26%
|
6 outs, consider fold to pressure
|
|
Open-Ended Straight Draw vs Top Pair
|
31.5%
|
Good price needed to continue
|
14. Turn Card Scenarios
|
Situation
|
River Odds
|
Action Guide
|
|
Flush Draw + Overcard
|
21%
|
10 outs on river
|
|
Set vs Two Pair
|
84%
|
Value bet aggressively
|
|
Top Two vs Bottom Set
|
7%
|
Consider folding to big bets
|
|
Straight vs Flush Draw
|
78%
|
Bet for protection
|
15. Common River Situations
|
Hand vs Hand
|
Equity
|
Betting Strategy
|
|
Top Pair vs Missed Draw
|
100%
|
Value bet thin
|
|
Two Pair vs Set
|
0%
|
Fold to large bets
|
|
Straight vs Flush
|
0%
|
Fold to any bet
|
|
Set vs Straight Draw (bricked)
|
100%
|
Value bet large
|
16. All-In Confrontations
|
Pre-flop Matchup
|
Equity
|
Stack Size Impact
|
|
AK vs 22-99
|
47%
|
Better with deep stacks
|
|
QQ vs AK suited
|
57%
|
Prefer 20-30BB depths
|
|
JJ vs AQ suited
|
57%
|
Good for 15-25BB stacks
|
|
88 vs A9 suited
|
54%
|
Ideal for 10-15BB stacks
|
17. Board Pairing Scenarios
|
Scenario
|
Impact
|
Strategy
|
|
Flush Draw + Board Pair
|
-4% equity
|
Reduces flush chances
|
|
Straight Draw + Board Pair
|
-2% equity
|
Slightly worse odds
|
|
Top Pair when Board Pairs
|
-30% equity
|
High vulnerability
|
|
Set when Board Pairs
|
+20% equity
|
Full house possibilities
|
18. Specific Three-Way Pot Scenarios
|
Hand
|
vs Two Opponents
|
Action Guide
|
|
AA pre-flop
|
66%
|
Raise for isolation
|
|
Flush Draw on Flop
|
15%
|
Need very good price
|
|
Top Pair Top Kicker
|
45%
|
Bet for protection
|
|
Middle Set
|
73%
|
Build pot aggressively
|
19. Tournament Bubble Scenarios
|
Stack Size
|
Required Equity
|
Bubble Strategy
|
|
Big Stack (>40BB)
|
40%
|
Apply pressure to medium stacks
|
|
Medium Stack (15-40BB)
|
65%
|
Play very tight, avoid marginal spots
|
|
Short Stack (8-15BB)
|
55%
|
Look for push/fold spots
|
|
Micro Stack (<8BB)
|
45%
|
Take any reasonable spot
|
20. ICM Pressure Adjustments
|
Pay Jump
|
Calling Range
|
Pushing Range
|
|
Bubble (Min Cash)
|
Top 5%
|
Top 15%
|
|
Final Table Bubble
|
Top 8%
|
Top 20%
|
|
Pay Jump (2x)
|
Top 12%
|
Top 25%
|
|
Regular Stage
|
Top 20%
|
Top 30%
|
21. Tournament Stage-Specific Odds
|
Tournament Stage
|
Required Equity
|
Key Adjustments
|
|
Early Stage
|
52%
|
Standard poker odds apply
|
|
Middle Stage
|
54%
|
Slightly tighter play
|
|
Bubble Phase
|
60%
|
Much tighter calling ranges
|
|
In The Money
|
53%
|
Return to standard play
|
|
Final Table
|
55%
|
Consider pay jumps
|
22. Push/Fold Charts for Different Stack Sizes
10BB Stack Push Range (Big Blind):
|
Hand Type
|
Push Equity
|
Action
|
|
22+
|
45%+
|
Push any position
|
|
A2s+
|
48%+
|
Push any position
|
|
K9s+
|
43%+
|
Push from late position
|
|
QTs+
|
42%+
|
Push from button/cutoff
|
23. Bubble Calling Ranges
|
Stack Size
|
Vs Push Range
|
Minimum Calling Hand
|
|
Big Stack
|
25%+
|
88+, AJ+, KQ
|
|
Medium Stack
|
35%+
|
TT+, AQ+
|
|
Short Stack
|
45%+
|
QQ+, AK
|
24. Late Stage Tournament Adjustments
|
Position
|
Stack Size
|
Required Equity
|
Strategy
|
|
Button
|
15BB
|
35%
|
Push top 40% hands
|
|
Small Blind
|
12BB
|
40%
|
Push top 30% hands
|
|
Big Blind
|
10BB
|
30%
|
Call top 25% hands
|
|
Early Position
|
15BB
|
45%
|
Push top 15% hands
|
25. Comprehensive Drawing Odds
|
Draw Type
|
Outs
|
Flop to Turn
|
Turn to River
|
Flop to River
|
|
Inside Straight Draw
|
4
|
8.5%
|
8.7%
|
16.5%
|
|
Outside Straight Draw
|
8
|
17.0%
|
17.4%
|
31.5%
|
|
Flush Draw
|
9
|
19.1%
|
19.6%
|
35.0%
|
|
Set to Full House
|
7
|
14.9%
|
15.2%
|
27.8%
|
26. Combined Drawing Odds
|
Combination
|
Total Outs
|
One Card
|
Two Cards
|
|
Flush + Straight Draw
|
15
|
31.9%
|
54.1%
|
|
Flush Draw + Pair
|
12
|
25.5%
|
45.0%
|
|
Straight Draw + Two Overcards
|
14
|
29.8%
|
51.2%
|
|
Flush Draw + Straight Draw + Overcards
|
21
|
44.7%
|
69.2%
|
27. Backdoor Draw Odds
|
Draw Type
|
Turn Card Needed
|
Complete by River
|
Total Odds
|
|
Backdoor Flush Draw
|
10/47 (21.3%)
|
9/46 (19.6%)
|
4.2%
|
|
Backdoor Straight Draw
|
8/47 (17.0%)
|
8/46 (17.4%)
|
3.0%
|
|
Two Backdoor Flush Draws
|
20/47 (42.6%)
|
9/46 (19.6%)
|
8.3%
|
28. Drawing Odds with Blockers
|
Scenario
|
Standard Outs
|
Blocked Outs
|
Adjusted Odds
|
|
Flush Draw (1 blocker)
|
9
|
8
|
17.0%
|
|
Straight Draw (1 blocker)
|
8
|
7
|
14.9%
|
|
Full House Draw (1 blocker)
|
7
|
6
|
12.8%
|
29. Drawing Odds in Multi-Way Pots
|
Draw Type
|
Heads Up Win%
|
3-Way Win%
|
4-Way Win%
|
|
Nut Flush Draw
|
35.0%
|
33.5%
|
32.0%
|
|
Non-Nut Flush Draw
|
35.0%
|
30.0%
|
26.0%
|
|
Open-Ended Straight Draw
|
31.5%
|
29.0%
|
27.0%
|
30. Drawing Hand Values by Position
|
Position
|
Value Multiplier
|
Strategy Adjustment
|
|
In Position
|
1.2x
|
Can play more draws
|
|
Out of Position
|
0.8x
|
Need stronger draws
|
|
Button vs Blinds
|
1.3x
|
Most profitable for draws
|
|
Early Position
|
0.7x
|
Need very strong draws
|
31. Starting Hand Probabilities(%) by Number of Players
32. Extended Starting Hand Probabilities(%) by Number of Players
33. Probability Adjustments for Position
|
Position
|
Multiplier
|
Notes
|
|
Button
|
+15%
|
Best position, can play more hands
|
|
Cut-off
|
+10%
|
Strong stealing position
|
|
Middle Position
|
-5%
|
Need stronger hands
|
|
Early Position
|
-15%
|
Play only premium hands
|
|
Small Blind
|
-10%
|
Out of position post-flop
|
|
Big Blind
|
+5%
|
Can defend wider range
|
